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Repubs, Dems support lowering housing costs, divided on policy reform
The House subcommittee on Economic Growth, Energy Policy, and Regulatory Affairs seeks an increase in housing supply.
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HUD secretary testifies as House reps press on housing affordability, oversight
From rising home prices to disaster recovery disputes, lawmakers questioned whether federal housing programs are keeping up with the needs of American households.
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Demands for Fed independence overtake House committee task force on monetary policy
Despite an agenda based around evaluating the Fed’s balance sheet and implementation of ample reserves, the House Financial Services committee sharply pivoted to object to how the executive branch is threatening the independence of the Federal Reserve.
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Family farmers flag bureaucracy and hurdles to accessing federal funds
Small and mid-sized farms play a critical role in feeding Americans, but current economic pressures put their long-term survival at risk.
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GOP, Dems share support for Earned Wage Access during House hearing, split over details
The House subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology, and Artificial Intelligence met Tuesday to discuss Earned Wage Access and “buy now, pay later” services.
read moreSupreme Court weighs consequences for internet provider liability, record labels in copyright dispute
WASHINGTON — Supreme Court justices pressed counsel for the music industry and internet providers on secondary copyright liability in oral arguments on Monday.
The case, Cox Communications Inc. v. Sony Music Entertainment, focuses on whether internet service providers (ISPs) should be held liable for copyright violations if user access was not terminated despite knowledge of infringement.
In 2019, a federal jury in Virginia awarded a group of music labels roughly $1B in statutory damages after finding Cox liable for vicarious and contributory infringement.
Cox’s subscribers illegally pirated copyrighted music owned by several record companies, including Sony, resulting in widespread infringement allegations.
In 2024, the 4th US Circuit Court of Appeals reversed the vicarious liability decision, which alleged that Cox financially benefited from subscribers’ infringement, and vacated the damages.
But the appeals court affirmed the willful contributory infringement verdict because of Cox’s knowledge of consumer violations and should therefore be held responsible for its subscribers’ online activity. Cox petitioned the Supreme Court to review the verdict.
E. Joshua Rosenkranz, Cox’s attorney, cited precedent cases Twitter, Inc. v. Taamneh and MGM Studios, Inc. v. Grokster in arguing that “mere failure to take affirmative steps to prevent infringement” should not equate to liability.
Rosenkranz urged justices to reverse the appeals court decision holding Cox liable because the company did not exhibit purposeful, culpable affirmative conduct, which is needed to establish secondary liability.
The justices questioned Rosenkranz on the matter of purposeful facilitation versus knowledge and the obligation for ISPs to police infringement.
“What incentive would you have to do anything if you won?” Associate Justice Amy Coney Barrett asked. “If you win and mere knowledge isn’t enough, why would you bother to send out any notices in the future?”
“Your Honor, for the simple reason that Cox is a good corporate citizen that cares a lot about what happens on its system,” Rosenkranz said. “We do all sorts of things that the law does not require us to do.”
Deputy Solicitor General Malcolm L. Stewart represented the Trump administration, which supports Cox’s position.
Stewart argued that if internet companies take down infringing works on their platform, such action would constitute a “targeted approach.”
“The approach of terminating all access to the internet based on infringement, it seems extremely overbroad given the centrality of the internet to modern life and given the First Amendment,” Stewart said.
Former Solicitor General Paul Clement, arguing on behalf of Sony, noted that Cox continued to supply internet access after receiving specific, repeated notices of accounts engaged in infringement. Clement classified such behavior as a form of secondary liability and material contribution.
He added that a strict direct infringement standard would render the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), which updated copyright law to regulate digital piracy, a “dead letter.”
“If Cox is right on the law, then Cox could take tens of thousands of copyright notices and throw them in the trash, and they could have its employees say ‘F the DMCA,’” Clement said.
Associate Justice Samuel Alito pressed Clement on the unreasonable burden ISPs would face if required to track infringement on enterprise accounts to individual users.
Alito used the example of a university with several thousand students, some of whom may be responsible for copyright violations, describing the situation as “not workable at all.”
“The university then has to try to determine which particular students are engaging in this activity,” Alito said. “And so then it knocks out a thousand students. And then another thousand students are going to pop up doing the same thing.”
Clement argued that the DMCA was intended to “accommodate measures that treat multi-user addresses quite differently from residential customers.
Associate Justice Sonia Sotomayor explained that the “internet is amorphous,” which makes determining material contribution from individual to regional customers challenging.
“How do we announce a rule that deals with those two extremes?” Sotomayor said.
According to Clement, his client would be “without scalable functional recourse” if limited in their ability to hold ISPs accountable in copyright matters.
“So if my clients are limited to direct infringement actions, they are in very, very dire straits,” Clement said.
In an amicus brief in support of Cox, the Computer and Communications Industry Association (CCIA) argued that ISPs face the threat of mounting statutory damages should the contributory infringement standard be affirmed.
According to Jonathan Band, founder of law firm policybandwidth, the consequences may extend beyond ISPs themselves.
“The way the internet works is that you have a lot of entities involved in the transmission of content over the internet,” said Band, who filed the brief on behalf of CCIA. “ If there’s a knowledge-based standard, depending on how it’s defined, all of them conceivably could have a degree of knowledge of something infringing.”
Band noted that some entities may be more vulnerable than others and deem the risk of providing intermediary services too large.
Parties supporting Sony, such as the National Music Publishers’ Association (NMPA), argued that “secondary liability is essential to protect creators and the industries that sustain them.”
“We wanted to point out that the industry spent a lot of time trying to work with service providers to find a solution to this problem,” said Michael J. Allan, an attorney at Steptoe and author of the NMPA’s brief.
“The same subscriber, the same IP address gets notices weekly, monthly, yearly, and nothing’s being done about it, so at some point you file a case,” Allan added.
A ruling is expected in summer 2026, in which the high court may send the case back to the appeals court for additional review.
Lawmakers pressure House to vote on congressional stock trading ban
WASHINGTON – House Republican leadership is facing bipartisan pressure to call for a vote on banning congressional stock trading as the House Administration Committee held a hearing on the topic Wednesday.
“Mark my words, a bill will come to the floor,” Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-Pa.) said during a press conference before the hearing.
Passed in 2012, the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge or STOCK Act requires members of Congress and other government officials to report financial transactions exceeding $1,000 within 45 days. It also prohibits insider trading, or buying stocks based on access to confidential information.
But Fitzpatrick is part of a coalition of lawmakers who say the STOCK Act hasn’t been enforced. For years, they’ve advocated for alternative legislation with stronger restrictions and enforcement on stock trading.
Members from both parties have introduced a total of 25 such proposals in the current 119th congressional term.
“People often want to talk about all the partisan divides,” said Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.), who shared a fist bump with Rep. Tim Burchett (R-Tenn.) during the press conference. “There are plenty of those. There are also these areas where there is true work.”
And Rep. Anna Paulina Luna (R-Fla.) said Tuesday she planned to file a discharge petition to force a vote if the House does not start the markup process on a bill Wednesday.
Yet sentiments inside the hearing room remained partisan.
Ranking member Joe Morelle (D-N.Y.) pointed to President Donald Trump’s recent purchase of Warner Bros. Discovery bonds amid the bidding war for the media conglomerate. Morelle said Trump would profit from a merger that raises bond prices.
“Why should the president enrich him or herself to rig the rules of the game while everyday Americans are struggling with the cost of living?” Morelle said.
Other House Democrats, including Reps. Terri Sewell (D-Ala.) and Norma Torres (D-Calif.) said Trump reaps profit from his proposed tariffs. Experts say the tariffs inflicted uncertainty on markets worldwide.
Torres said such insider knowledge trading extended to others in the administration, including Attorney General Pam Bondi, who sold Trump Media shares the day Trump announced tariffs that caused a stock market drop.
“As head of the Department of Justice and a close friend of President Trump, she had access to information that working families in my district could never dream of having,” Torres said.
Republican members on the committee countered by invoking Rep. Nancy Pelosi’s (D-Calif.) stock trading portfolio, which has caused controversy throughout her decades-long career.
“It’s critical that all members are held to the same standard, whether they are a first term member or a certain former Speaker of the House, who I would know has not been mentioned once by the Democrat members of this committee,” Rep. Mary Miller (R-Ill.) said.
During his remarks, Rep. Greg Murphy (R-N.C.) unveiled a poster that read, “The Pelosis profited $130 million over their time in Congress.”
Still, like several of his colleagues, he circled back to bipartisan messaging.
“There are egregious examples on both sides of the aisle,” Murphy said.
Committee chair Bryan Steil (R-Wis.) said he felt the hearing was productive after it had ended. But he did not say whether there would be a markup on a STOCK Act alternative anytime soon.
Rep. Seth Magaziner (D-R.I.) said it’s possible the hearing is part of a “delaying tactic” to discuss a stock trading ban without bringing a vote to the floor. That effort, he said, is also bipartisan.
“The opponents are quiet,” Magaziner said. “They don’t get in front of the cameras and say, ‘No, we want to keep trading stocks.’ But they are in the ear of leadership on both parties.”
Supreme Court scrutinizes Trump’s sweeping tariffs, limits of presidential power in historic case
WASHINGTON – Supreme Court justices sharply questioned President Donald Trump’s tariff agenda and appeared skeptical of its legality under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) during oral arguments on Wednesday.
The consolidated cases were brought before the Court by small businesses—an educational toy company and wine importer—as well as a coalition of 12 states.
IEEPA grants the president the ability to regulate economic transactions after declaring a national emergency. While all presidents since Jimmy Carter have invoked IEEPA, they have done so to impose sanctions in response to specific national security threats. Trump is the first to rely on the Act to enact tariffs on imported goods.
Several justices expressed doubt regarding the president’s power to unilaterally impose tariffs, an authority traditionally held by the legislative branch according to Article I of the Constitution.
Justice Amy Coney Barrett questioned Solicitor General D. John Sauer on whether IEEPA provides either a statutory or historical basis to impose tariffs.
“Can you point to any other place in the Code or any other time in history where that phrase, together, ‘regulate…importation,’ has been used to confer tariff-imposing authority?” Barrett said.
Her question prompted back-and-forth dialogue with Sauer, who ultimately pointed to a “contested application”—as described by Barrett—in the Trading with the Enemies Act (TWEA).
The authority question raises the applicability of the major questions doctrine, which holds that Congress must provide explicit congressional authorization before the executive branch takes actions of “vast economic or political significance.”
Chief Justice John Roberts, whose vote is expected to help swing the decision, contested Sauer’s claim that the major questions doctrine “does not apply here.”
Justice Sonia Sotomayor also said she “does not understand” the argument that “foreign powers or even an emergency can do away with the major questions doctrine.”
Sauer reiterated that the president imposed tariffs as a means to “regulate” imports and that their revenue-raising effect is “only incidental.”
Both conservative and liberal justices challenged Sauer on this point, with Sotomayor pointing out that IEEPA does not contain a statute permitting revenue generation “as a side effect or directly.”
“It’s been suggested that the tariffs are responsible for significant reduction in our deficit,” Roberts said. “I would say that’s raising revenue domestically.”
While Sauer contended against the idea that regulatory tariffs are “distinct” from taxes, Neal Katyal, a lawyer representing small businesses against the tariffs, argued the opposite.
Katyal described the president’s tariff agenda as resulting in “one of the largest tax increases in our lifetimes.” He also focused on the term “regulate” in IEEPA, its interpretation being a key point of contention among the parties.
“[IEEPA] uses ‘regulate,’ which Congress has used hundreds of times, never once to include tariffs,” Katyal said. “And that is why, even though presidents have used IEEPA to impose economic sanctions thousands of times, no president in IEEPA’s 50-year lifetime has ever tried to impose tariffs.”
Several competing amicus briefs also home in on this language. Zac Morgan of the Washington Legal Foundation (WLF)—a law firm and policy center that filed a brief against the imposition of tariffs—said that “this entire case is about what…‘regulate importation’ means.”
“‘Regulate’ and ‘importation’ are separated by 16 words, and all of those words involve compellence, voidance…the kind of things you would expect to see in a sanctions authority,” Morgan said.
According to Morgan, IEEPA is intended for imposing financial sanctions and quotas as opposed to conferring tariffs or “setting rates at whim.”
The American Center for Law and Justice (ACLJ) focused on different considerations in its brief, namely the limits of judicial review on the president’s international governance. The brief mentions a key phrase in Section 1701 of IEEPA, “any unusual and extraordinary threat,” which serves as a “trigger” for the emergency authority outlined in Section 1702.
“When we’re talking about the national and international decision making relating to IEEPA, the president is given more information than any of us can have in terms of intelligence,” said Nathan Moelker, senior associate counsel at the ACLJ. “In that context, judicial review of what constitutes an unusual, extraordinary threat doesn’t fit with how IEEPA is structured.”
More broadly, Moelker emphasized that this is not an “easy” case for justices to wrestle with as they “navigate specific statutory language.”
Trump took to Truth Social on Tuesday to reiterate the case’s importance for his economic agenda, referring to it as “LIFE OR DEATH for our Country.” He previously floated the idea of attending the arguments but backtracked earlier this week.
In attendance at the Court were Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer and Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. Several lawmakers, including Senators Ed Markey (D-Mass.), Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn) and Mike Lee (R-Utah) were also present.
If the president’s tariffs are struck down by the high court, more than $100 billion in refunds may be issued to importers. A decision against Trump would also mark the Supreme Court’s most significant rebuke yet of his presidential authority in the second term.
A decision is expected by summer 2026, but the expedited nature of the case makes an earlier ruling possible.
Watch: D.C. ‘shyster’ trades briefcases for buns, launching hot dog stand during shutdown
WASINGTON — As Washington grinds to a halt during the government shutdown, furloughed IRS lawyer Isaac Stein is firing up his grill.
Fulfilling what he calls his ‘childhood dream’, Stein’s new workplace is the corner of 1st and M St NE, where his pop-up hot dog cart, Shyster’s Dogs (@shystersdogs), has become a local and Internet obsession thanks to his suit-and-tie service and cheeky menu serving “correct” and “wrong” hot dogs, Moon Pies, and RC Colas.
Watch the video report here:
Trick or tariff: Halloween supplies see double-digit price increases
VIENNA, Va. — A significant majority of Halloween essentials like costumes and decorations are made in China, leaving many families spooked by tariff-induced price increases this holiday season.
The National Retail Foundation projects that Americans will spend a record amount on Halloween this year — about $11 more per person than last year. A possible explanation, according to supply chain experts, is that products face steep tariffs, forcing importers to raise prices for retailers and, by extension, consumers.
“When you’re talking about a really low profit margin business … there’s not gonna be a lot of room for the producers to sort of eat the cost of the tariff, so you’d expect them to pass it on to the consumer in terms of a higher price,” Brooklyn Law School Associate Professor Stratos Pahis said.
Watch the video report here:
Aviation crisis reaches new heights as air travel hits turbulence
WASHINGTON – As the government shutdown hits the one month mark, ground stops, travel delays and flight cancellations have become more common as staffing shortages caused by the shutdown increase at airports.
Air traffic controllers, who are considered essential workers, have been working without pay since the shutdown began four weeks ago, with some having to take on other jobs to support themselves and their families.
In a White House statement about the government shutdown’s impact on America’s air traffic control system, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy said of air traffic controllers: “They’re angry… They’re frustrated that the Congress – at least in the Senate – is focused on paying for health care benefits for illegals as opposed to paying their paychecks for the great work that they provide to the American people.”
Democrats have refused to approve a Continuing Resolution (CR) until Republicans reinstate federal subsidies for health care premiums for the 24 million Americans on Affordable Care Act insurance plans.
Throughout the shutdown, air traffic has been a major topic of discussion, as many believe that travel disruptions caused by federal employees like air traffic controllers and TSA agents calling in sick, played a major role in forcing the end of the 2019 government shutdown.
For many federal workers, things have already reached an intolerable and unsustainable point. A host of airline unions and associations who have called for the shutdown to end, including Airlines for America (A4A), the trade association for major U.S. airlines including United Airlines, Delta Air Lines and American Airlines.
“Missed paychecks for the federal employees charged with the safe and efficient facilitation of our national airspace unnecessarily increases stress for the thousands of air traffic controllers, TSA officers and CBP employees who work every day to keep aviation safe and secure,” said A4A in a statement.
A4A continued by urging elected leaders to “act with an appropriate sense of urgency to solve this problem and immediately reopen the federal government,” and pass a clean CR.
This sentiment has been echoed by many others in the aviation industry. The Aircraft Mechanics Fraternal Association (AMFA) published a press release on Thursday stating: “It’s time for Congress to reconvene in a bipartisan manner to pass a clean CR and support all the men and women in aviation who contribute to the safest National Airspace System for us all to travel.”
The National Air Traffic Controllers Association (NATCA) also leafleted nearly 20 airports across the country this Tuesday in an effort to educate travelers about the impact of the shutdown as air traffic controllers received their first zero-dollar paycheck.
This Thursday, Vice President JD Vance and Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy held a roundtable with airline industry leaders, including the CEOs of United Airlines and American Airlines to discuss the negative effects of the shutdown as well as next steps for the industry. Duffy said he was working to recruit new air traffic controllers to help resolve staffing issues.
In the meantime, many federal aviation workers continue to struggle to stay afloat.
“Air traffic controllers don’t start or stop government shutdowns – politicians do. Yet right now, the people who keep our skies safe and our nation moving are doing their job without a paycheck,” said NATCA President Nick Daniels. “Many are already working six days a week, and now they are facing the impossible choice of taking on extra jobs just to feed their families. Meanwhile, Congress is leading us towards what could be the longest shutdown in our nation’s history, and introducing risk into an already fragile system.”
Fed cuts rates amid labor concerns, casts doubt on further easing in December
WASHINGTON – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell announced a quarter point rate cut on Wednesday, marking the second cut of this year.
The reduction brings the federal funds rate to the 3.75% to 4.00% range, closer to what the Fed considers its neutral rate. The last time the benchmark rate fell below 4.00% was in late 2022.
In tandem with its rate cut decision, the Fed also announced it will halt balance sheet runoff beginning Dec. 1, ensuring reserves do not run too low and to support liquidity.
According to David Wessel, director of the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institution, the end of this quantitative tightening process marks a “milestone.”
The move seeks to prevent the kind of market turmoil seen in 2019, when a shortage of bank reserves triggered a spike in the overnight lending rate and forced the Fed to intervene.
In announcing the rate cut, Chair Powell cited the Fed’s dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices, noting that “conditions in the labor market appear to be gradually cooling, and inflation remains somewhat elevated.”
On the labor market, Powell said unemployment remains low at 4.3% as of August but job gains have also slowed. The Fed attributes this trend to a weaker labor‐force participation rate, lower immigration and softer demand for workers.
Powell noted the effect of tariffs on inflation will be “relatively short-lived,” but the Fed will continue to monitor the risk of persistent inflationary pressures that may arise from a “one-time price-level shift.”
“In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside and risks to employment to the downside — a challenging situation,” Powell said. “There is no risk-free path for policy as we navigate this tension between our employment and inflation goals.”
The decision was not unanimous, as some officials remain focused on the weakened labor market, while others caution against further quantitative easing.
Governor Stephen Miran wanted a 50-basis-point cut, consistent with his view in the September meeting and overall stance that current monetary policy is too restrictive.
Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid preferred to not cut rates further, given that inflation remains above the Fed’s target of 2%.
While Powell said the employment and inflation outlook did not deviate significantly from the September meeting, the government shutdown forced the Fed to make a decision with only partial data.
The lapse in appropriations has shuttered agencies like the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), which provide key sources of data to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Some examples of metrics that inform the Fed’s policymaking and were impacted by the shutdown include the unemployment rate and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, which were last released in August.
While private or alternative data offer some insight, Powell stressed they are not adequate substitutes for official government statistics. Powell described the situation as akin to “driving in fog.”
“I don’t think we’ll be able to have a very granular understanding of the economy … while this data is not available,” Powell said.
Looking ahead, Powell noted “strongly differing views” on the path ahead, cautioning against cutting rates once more before year end.
In a statement to Medill News Service, Wessel noted “perhaps stronger differences than we’ve seen in the recent past” on the path forward.
“A further reduction in the policy rate at the December meeting is not a foregone conclusion — far from it,” Powell said. “Policy is not on a preset course.”
Photo essay: Google hosts Public Sector Summit for government leaders
WASHINGTON — Over a thousand government leaders and IT professionals gathered for Google’s annual Public Sector Summit to learn about newly launched AI-optimized tools designed for the public sector.
The theme of the summit was “A New Era,” focusing on how AI innovations can transform public sector workflows in data, security, infrastructure and collaboration.
The event also celebrated Gemini for Government, the AI platform Google created specifically for government employees, which launched in August. The deal Google signed with the General Services Administration prices the tool at 50 cents per government agency through 2026.
The GSA has established similar agreements with OpenAI and Meta as part of its support for President Donald Trump’s AI Action Plan, which aims to increase the use of AI tools in federal agencies.

From left to right: Marcie Kahbody (California State Transportation Agency), Sophie Lebrecht (Allen Institute for AI), Shane Shaneman (NVIDIA) and Chris Hein (Google Public Sector) speak at a panel called “10X your ability to ideate, create, and discover the future with AI.” (Cassie Sun/MNS).

Deloitte Partner Tzarni Mangosong speaks at the panel “Reimagining the future of government service centers featuring Deloitte.” (Cassie Sun/MNS)

Google staff provide a demo of Gemini for Government, showcasing the AI Agent Gallery. (Cassie Sun/MNS)

Attendees gather to hear talks on using Google Workspace to improve intelligence analysis for defense agencies. (Cassie Sun/MNS)
WATCH: Small business owners bear the brunt as shutdown enters second month
WASHINGTON – Roughly 330,000 federal workers in the DMV area have been furloughed due to the government shutdown, and local establishments are feeling the impact.
According to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, 99.9 percent of businesses in the U.S. are small businesses, and they employ nearly half of the country’s workforce.
Aksana Tran, who owns Sweet Lemon Cafe on Capitol Hill, said her business has seen roughly
20 to 30 percent less foot traffic since the shutdown began on Oct. 1.
Tran said she has not paid herself for the last three weeks due to decreased revenue and had to let go of one employee.
Small business owners met with legislative staff on Capitol Hill last week to discuss the shutdown’s personal toll.
“Every time something like this happens, it happens as we’re heading into the fourth quarter, and in this country, the fourth quarter is a big shopping season,” said Michael Brey, owner of Hobby Works, a toy and hobby retailer. “And so these kinds of things have a real negative impact.”
Watch the video report here:
In Photos: World Bank, IMF leaders convene for annual meetings
WASHINGTON — Banking and finance representatives from the World Bank Group and the International Monetary Fund gathered this week for annual meetings.
The event included panels, press conferences and a plenary session for the World Bank Development Committee. Officials and experts focused their discussions on how tariffs and artificial intelligence impact the global economy.
The IMF released its World Economic Outlook on Tuesday, which projected a higher-than-expected 3.2% growth for 2025.

From left to right: World Bank Development Committee chair Elisabeth Svantesson and World Bank Group President Ajay Banga prepare for a plenary session. (Desiree Luo/MNS)

Panelists speak about artificial intelligence and technology at the panel “Boosting Productivity Growth in the Digital Age.” (Desiree Luo/MNS)

Singapore President Tharman Shanmugaratnam speaks at the panel “Debate on the Global Economy: Shaping Economic Policies Amid a Shifting Global Landscape.” (Desiree Luo/MNS)

Musicians perform during a Thai cultural performance. The 2026 World Bank annual meeting will be held in Thailand. (Desiree Luo/MNS)

NASDAQ CEO Adena Friedman speaks at “Debate on the Global Economy: Shaping Economic Policies Amid a Shifting Global Landscape.” (Desiree Luo/MNS)

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva answers questions at a press conference on the global policy agenda. (Desiree Luo/MNS)

Harvard Kennedy School of Government professor Gordon Hanson speaks about changing global economies at a panel. (Desiree Luo/MNS)

From left to right: United Kingdom constituent Jenny Chapman and United States constituent Margaret Kuhlow speak before a Development Committee plenary session. (Desiree Luo/MNS)

European Central Bank president Christine Lagarde speaks during a panel on evolving trade relations. (Desiree Luo/MNS)
IMF projects stronger-than-expected global economy, cautions against ‘premature’ conclusions on tariff shock
WASHINGTON – The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday projected the global economy to grow 3.2% in 2025, according to its latest World Economic Outlook.
This figure represents a slowdown from 3.3% growth in 2024 but a 0.2% upward revision from the IMF’s July projection, indicating more economic resilience than expected.
The modest forecasted slowdown can be attributed to a muted shock from tariff announcements, IMF Chief Economist Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas said. But he warned of a downside risk from trade tensions that could result in a global output decrease of 0.2% by the end of 2026.
U.S.-China trade relations are especially strained, with back-and-forth escalation leading to an effective tariff on Chinese imports peaking at 145% in the spring. A 90-day truce was announced in May curbing escalating rates until Nov. 10.
Tensions flared last week when China’s Ministry of Commerce announced sweeping rare-earth export controls, affecting target sectors such as military and defense. President Donald Trump responded with a plan to enact an additional 100% tariffs on Nov. 1, a retaliatory move contingent on China’s decision to proceed with rare-earth material restrictions.
“Recent announcements last week make us all realize that trade uncertainty is still with us,” Gourinchas said.
Despite such tensions, Gourinchas said the tariff shock is “smaller than initially feared.”
That’s due to exemptions that have accompanied tariff delays, allowing businesses to stock up on goods before deadlines. Gourinchas said booming U.S. investment in artificial intelligence has also mitigated shocks.
While the tariff surge had limited impact on global growth thus far, the IMF said in its report that it would be both “premature and incorrect” to assume this will apply to overall economic prospects, including that of the U.S.
The IMF projected the U.S. economy will grow 2% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026, a drop from 2.8% in 2024, while inflation was revised upward. A shrinking U.S. labor market, partly due to a 1.1 million decline in foreign-born workers since January, indicates a negative supply shock could kick in and lower potential output, according to the outlook.
“You can think of this as another negative supply shock on top of the tariff shock,” Gourinchas said. “It’s potentially both reducing output and increasing inflation.”
Former World Trade Organization chief economist Robert Koopman said tariff delays can contribute to supply chain issues moving forward.
Levies ranging from 10% to 50% on timber and lumber went into effect on Tuesday, as outlined by the White House proclamation published last month. They were originally announced to be implemented on October 1.
“This makes it an incredibly complex environment for firms to operate and to manage their supply chains, whether those supply chains are domestic or international,” Koopman said.
Gourinchas said international trade has not decreased yet, but relationships between nations have changed. He said there is less trade between the U.S. and China in particular.
Tinglong Dai, a professor at the Johns Hopkins University Carey Business School, said Trump’s tariff announcements isolate the U.S. economy.
“America is not business friendly,” Dai said. “America is just really closing its market to the rest of the world.”
To build resilience to potential shocks, Gourinchas recommended countries establish clear multilateral trade agreements and cautioned against protectionist measures.
He also encouraged nations to maintain existing relationships with trade partners and establish new ones.
“No country is an island that can do things on their own,” Gourinchas said.
Senate debates merit of Patent Eligibility Restoration Act
WASHINGTON — One day after questioning Attorney General Pam Bondi during a highly televised Senate Judiciary Committee hearing, Sen. Mazie Hirono (D-Hawaii) attended a much quieter discussion before a smaller audience on Wednesday.
“This is like a normal hearing,” Hirono said at the Intellectual Property subcommittee hearing. “It’s nice.”
The debate focused on the Patent Eligibility Restoration Act (PERA), which would expand patent eligibility in sectors including software and biotechnology. It aims to combat Supreme Court decisions from the 2010s that limited patent applications on diagnostics, software and business methods.
PERA advocates argue that such patent restrictions discourage innovation and investment in these emerging industries.
Subcommittee chair Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) has held hearings on the subject since 2019. He introduced the bill in 2023 with Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.) as a co-sponsor.
Tillis announced in June that he would not seek re-election in 2026 and acknowledged during the hearing he had limited time to push PERA forward.
“Under my watch, which, incidentally, is over the next 452 days, it will be one of my top priorities in my office,” he said.
Former U.S. Patent and Trademark Office director Andrei Iancu said uncertainty in the patent system is “deadly,” referring to courts striking down patent applications on diagnostics. He said these denials limit disease detection options for consumers.
And Steven Caltrider, Chief IP counsel at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute, said patent restrictions discourage private sector investment that helps the diagnostics come to fruition.
American University assistant law professor Charles Duan said in an interview with Medill News Service most PERA advocates come from larger pharmaceutical and tech firms.
“A lot of patent law comes down to who you think are the most important people in terms of who develops innovations,” Duan said.
Testifying on behalf of genetic testing companies, Pillsbury, Winthrop, Shaw & Pittman LLP partner Richard Blaylock said patents allow firms to privatize medical discoveries.
“PERA would slam the door shut on access to new biomarkers,” he said.
Making biomarkers patent-eligible would also harm patients, Blaylock said. Diagnostics test for a variety of biomarkers, but requiring permission from patent holders to perform those tests will put up roadblocks to critical care.
Duan said expanded patent eligibility leads to monopolies and reduced competition. Consumers experience that impact through higher prices and limited options.
That point was also raised by Mike Lemon, who testified on behalf of the National Retail Federation.
“Every dollar businesses spend fighting frivolous lawsuits is a dollar they cannot put toward lowering prices, hiring staff or improving service,” Lemon said.
For Mark Cohen, a senior technology fellow at the Asia Society of Northern California, international competition looms behind domestic impacts.
Cohen said China’s broadened patent laws give it a competitive advantage over the U.S. That could turn into a national security concern, he said, when technology is used for military purposes.
But Lemon said PERA would make it easier for foreign companies to apply for U.S. patents, allowing China to maintain its lead in the innovation race.
Still, combatting Chinese markets is a priority for Tillis.
“They represent a threat to Western democracy and open capitalist markets,” Tillis told Medill News Service. “To be honest with you, this is about always pacing ahead of China in my mind.”
Witnesses agreed on advancing American innovation. Even disagreements on how to best do so did not escalate.
“One of the beautiful things about patent law, Sen. Coons, is that it’s nonpartisan or bipartisan,” Iancu said.





